What was the impact of lockdown on human health? Statisticians report surprising findings


When the lockdown occurred

At the beginning of last year, most social contacts were banned, international travel was virtually stopped and workplaces and school facilities were closed, statistics show. “Nastal lockdown, ”They sum up succinctly.

These measures appear to have limited the spread of the new coronavirus, the authors admit. At the same time, they raise the important question of what was the ratio of their benefits and collateral damage to the health of the population.

Despite recommendations to continue seeking help, routine health care has been severely disrupted, ”Declare Masters and Spiegelhalter. An example is statistics from England, where the waiting list for medical procedures in hospitals has been extended to more than 5 million people, which is more than half a million more than before the pandemic.

In the first wave of the coronavirus pandemic, 90,000 prosthetic surgeries were canceled in England alone, statistics show. They state that as a result, many patients have had to face ongoing pain.

The decline was also recorded in oncological examinations and findings, experts point out. They admit that so far there has been no significant increase in cancer deaths, which will probably not begin until the coming years.

As for whether to get up from the couch and move, the lockdowns record the couch, “The authors of the comment continue. They refer to statistics from the first wave of infections, with 3 million adults in England admitting to physical inactivity – at an alarming rate of less than half an hour of active exercise per week.

The measures protected young people

On the other hand, not all reports are so bad, both experts admit. They point out, for example, that seasonal influenza, which is estimated to have claimed between four and 22,000 lives a year in recent years in the United Kingdom alone, has virtually disappeared between 2020 and 2021.

Similarly, the number of people injured in road accidents has fallen in the UK, according to renowned statistics. They figure that in April 2020 it was as much as 70 percent and in the first six months of lockdown by 30 percent. However, the drop in the number of road accident victims was smaller, about 20 percent over the same period, according to Spiegelhalter and Masters.

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These trends in traffic accidents were even more pronounced in Japan, for example, experts point out. They explain that the lockdown reduced the number of accidents, but less traffic apparently led some drivers to drive faster.

Normally, there is also an observable fluctuation in the deaths of people aged 15-29 from non-natural causes, statistics show. They attribute this to the riskier lifestyle of this age group, which, however, was limited by the pandemic.

In the areas of England and Wales, last year’s statistics show almost three hundred fewer such deaths than the average for the years 2015 to 2019, the authors note. They add that this means three hundred fewer grieving families who do not know that the coronavirus saved their loved ones, unlike 115 families who know that covid-19 has taken away their relatives in that age group.

The pandemic and the response to it generally protected the lives of young people, ”Declare Spiegelhalter and Masters. But they add with one breath that restrictive measures have changed our social and economic life, our mental health, education, the environment and other areas. These impacts will be felt long in the future, but not all of them can be quantified by statisticians, experts conclude.


Source: EuroZprávy.cz by eurozpravy.cz.

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