What result awaits the opposition in the new elections? – Politics

Opposition right-wing parties could grow in the next election if the government withdraws unpopular moves, while the rest of the opposition can hardly count on a better result because new players will enter the game to take over their disappointed voters, Danas interlocutors say. the opposition can win the new elections in Belgrade.

The editor-in-chief of New Serbian Political Thought, Djordje Vukadinovic, is not sure that there will be new elections, especially not so soon, this year or in the next six months, regardless of the fact that, as he says, it is a matter of the media.

– However, Vučić will first form the government, and only then hold the elections. And when power is formed, “as alive as dead after.” I believe that there will be early elections, but not soon. My thesis is that regardless of the heroes on both sides, in fact, neither the government nor the opposition will rush to those elections, because they are not sure that they will achieve a better result than this one now – he states.

According to him, the regime’s boasting about the result of the repeated elections at four polling stations in Belgrade is, to put it mildly, excessive because it is a small sample and only a few hundred votes more, it is not a pledge or proof that they will “break” in the repeated elections.

As for the opposition, Vukadinovic said that the situation in the elections would be completely new, both in terms of new players and in terms of the fact that the existing columns would be reformatted, and that these were the reasons why the opposition would not rush to the elections.

photo (BETAPHOTO / MEDIA CENTER BELGRADE / DS)

He states that the United for Victory will be reorganized, because it is almost impossible that the SAA and the National Assembly will go together, and that the question is what the Democrats will do. Vukadinović also believes that there will be divisions and associations on the right side as well.

According to him, the opposition must reckon that it will be difficult to have such mobilization and hope as it existed again, and that there is an increase in abstinence and new players. Vukadinovic does not believe that the government will improve its result much.

– I can tighten my ranks a little. Their personal relationships are bad and it cost them a couple of estimates. They can fix a few estimates, but they will need someone for power. After the new elections, everyone will need someone for power – Vukadinović concludes.

And Dušan Vučićević, assistant professor of the FPN, points out that the result of the opposition depends on whether the government will have to make crucial foreign policy decisions regarding the imposition of sanctions on Russia.

What result awaits the opposition in the new elections?  3
Photo: Print screen/ N1

– If the context in that regard does not change, then I assume that the parties on the right have room to grow on pro-Russian sentiment and take part of the SNS voters if she makes moves unpopular with her electorate. There are a number of voters of right-wing parties that remained below the threshold, Sovereignists, SRS and Nemanja Sarovic’s list, which, I guess, knowing that their votes failed in the last elections, will be redirected to parties that passed the threshold – says Vucicevic.

He adds that three parties from the right have room for growth because it is possible that there will be some coalition cooperation between them.

He is thinking of Zavetnike and Dveri, who, as he explains, are targeting the same electorate, but a body that follows different media, so the effect of synergy could be even greater.

There is, he says, the DSS, which can grow, but he is not sure that they would go into a coalition with Dveri and Zavetnici. As he adds, the measured and moderate story and performance of Miloš Jovanović has its audience.

– On the other hand, it seems that the United electorate for victory is disappointed with two things. First, the results because they were told that they would be better than they were, so they were immediately disappointed on election night. They were additionally disappointed that two days after the elections, there was a division within that opposition bloc with the departure of Dragan Djilas to a meeting with Vučić, and then there was a fairly public debate between the National Assembly and the DS. It seems that some of those voters have gone into abstinence and dissatisfaction, and it seems that someone can pick them up. So, in the atmosphere of opposition and division in the opposition, there is a possibility that a new actor will appear who would pick up those voters and further weaken the existing parties – he explains.

When asked which new actor he could be, he answered that Savo Manojlović has room to achieve a relatively good result with his organization if he decides to go to the polls.

– Savo said that he would not participate in the elections in 2022, but he did not say that he would not participate in the next ones, he even said that it was very possible. In the research we did at the beginning of the year, Savo did well even better than the opposition leaders – says Vučićević.

Asked how Zdravko Ponos would fare as a new player, he replied that “it is mentioned coldly that Savo and Ponos can do something together”.

– I am not sure how smart it is for Sava to connect with politicians who were part of the existing party structures, because he has already achieved a certain recognizability with a new story and new young people. It does not seem to me that he needs someone who will drag him into the center of the public sphere – Vučićević concludes.

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Source: Dnevni list Danas by www.danas.rs.

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