US achieves ‘at least one injection for 70% of the nation’ in December

By July 4, 70% of adults over the age of 18 have one injection ‘impossible’

[배턴루지=AP/뉴시스] Giveaways and raffles to boost vaccination are rushing in America, where vaccination rates are low. The Governor of Louisiana and the First Lady of the State of Louisiana show off a giant check lottery ticket at a press conference on the 17th.
[서울=뉴시스] Reporter Jae-young Kim = If the current trend of vaccination against COVID-19 in the United States continues, the New York Times predicted that the minimum condition for herd immunity, ‘at least one injection for 70% of the nation’, will be achieved in early December.

According to the latest data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) on the 28th, 179.7 million people, or 54.1 percent of the American population, have had at least one vaccination, and 153.9 million, or 46.3 percent of the population, have been fully vaccinated.

The complete vaccination rate of the people who started vaccination is over 85%, but the problem is that the number of injections per day is decreasing. The number of daily injections for vaccines that require two doses (Pfizer, Moderna) or one-time vaccines (Jansen) recorded 830,000 daily injections across the United States on the 28th.

The average daily value for a week until the 28th is a 75% drop from the 3.38 million on April 13th. If the daily inoculation is conducted at this rate, it would have to be December 9th to reach 70% of the nation’s population receiving at least one injection, which is currently 54.1%.

Experts say that 70% to 90% of the population must be resistant to the novel coronavirus if a sufficiently large population is to be protected from the virus through vaccination or infection to achieve ‘herd immunity’, which substantially slows the transmission of the virus.

The minimum condition for 70% of the population to gain resistance through vaccination alone is the minimum condition, but in the United States, where there is a lot of vaccine, it will take 5 more months to expect this.

The lower limit for vaccines, age 12 and over, is 85% of the US population, and in order to get at least one injection, theoretically, you have to wait until May 11 next year, and 90% will reach it by July 1, exactly a year later.

President Joe Biden said he was confident that 70% of adults aged 18 and over would get at least one shot by July 4, Independence Day, in early May, when close to three million people were injected a day. However, this has been confirmed as an unattainable target, which currently has an inoculation rate of 66%. The problem is that 66% of them don’t move for more than a week. The 4th of July is the next Sunday.

Meanwhile, South Korea plans to inoculate 36 million people, 70% of the total population, at least once by the end of September and fully vaccinate them by the end of November. It can be said that it is a much more ambitious plan than the United States, but as of the 29th, the proportion of Koreans with at least one injection (the first dose) is 29.8%. This is much lower than the current rate of 54.1% in the United States.

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