Washington has named several possible scenarios.
Russia is still deciding what to do with the troops concentrated near Ukraine / Photo: REUTERS
U.S. intelligence officials warn European partners that there is little time left to thwart Russia’s intentions of a full-scale invasion of Ukraine.
He writes about it The New York Times with reference to American and European officials.
In this way, the United States is pushing European countries to work together to develop a package of sanctions to deter the Kremlin.
U.S. officials say Russia is still deciding what to do with troops stationed near the border with Ukraine, but that Washington is taking military deployments seriously. And the United States does not believe that this time, unlike the previous escalation in March, Moscow is not bluffing.
In particular, this week the director of the US National Intelligence Evril Gaines visited Brussels to inform NATO ambassadors about the data of the US intelligence services on the current situation and the possible Russian invasion of Ukraine.
Gaines’ trip to Europe was long-planned and addressed many issues, but informed sources said the issues discussed included a close threat of escalation in Eastern Europe and growing concerns about the Kremlin’s actions.
The United States and Britain are convinced that Putin expects to gain control of most of Ukraine or destabilize the country to establish pro-Russian rule there.
U.S. intelligence officials said Putin was disappointed with the peace process begun by France and Germany in 2014 after the annexation of Crimea and the seizure of Donbass.
Some former officials say Putin may intend to provide land routes between eastern Ukraine and Crimea. US analysts believe that the Russian president will take office in the coming months.
According to an UNIAN correspondent, the chairman of the US Senate Foreign Relations Committee Bob Menendez has introduced an amendment providing for a package of sanctions against senior Russian officials, the Nord Stream-2 gas pipeline, large financial institutions, etc. in the event of a full-scale invasion of Ukraine.
Possible escalation at the border: what is known
As UNIAN reported, the Washington Post, citing statements from its anonymous sources, wrote that Russia has recently resumed the increase of military force on the border with Ukraine. In addition, videos began to appear on social networks with echelons of military equipment, including tanks and missiles, which are transported to the southern and western regions of Russia. The United States and Europe drew attention to this after the completion of the Russian-Belarusian military exercises “West-2021”.
According to Michael Coffman, director of the Russian CNA’s nonprofit think tank, satellite imagery shows that forces from Russia’s 41st All-Russian Army, based in Novosibirsk, did not return to their positions after the exercise, but joined forces with other Russian troops near border with Ukraine.
Satellite images confirm that the personnel and equipment of the 1st Guards Tank Army, based near Moscow, were also transferred to Ukraine.
The Ministry of Defense of Ukraine denied the information disseminated by The Washington Post about Russia’s increase in military force near the Ukrainian border. The data published in the media about the transfer of Russian troops to the Ministry of Defense is called “an element of special information and psychological actions, which are essentially planned measures in the framework of the movement of troops after training.”
Politico later published fresh satellite photos confirming reports that Russia was again concentrating troops and military equipment on the border with Ukraine.
On November 2, the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine stated that Russia had concentrated a group of troops numbering about 90,000 people near the borders of Ukraine and in the occupied territories of Crimea and Donbas. It is noted that the Ministry of Defense is closely monitoring the situation near the state border of Ukraine with Russia and in the temporarily occupied territories of Crimea and Donetsk and Luhansk regions. Thus, the facts provided by the intelligence agencies of Ukraine are confirmed during the exchange of information with our partners on the security situation around Ukraine.
It will be recalled that in March of this year, the Russian Federation significantly increased the number of its troops along the state border of Ukraine and in the temporarily occupied territories, but withdrew them in April. Then President Volodymyr Zelensky stated that Russia was trying to put pressure on Ukraine by increasing troops at the border.
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