The Generalitat has tightened its forecast report on the evolution of the coronavirus in Catalonia, which increasingly complicates the holding of the elections on February 14. The document that the Department of Health has delivered to the political parties estimates that the peak of the third wave will hit the Catalan community at the beginning of the campaign electoral and that the care pressure and the occupation of the ICUs will be identical to the first wave around February 14.
This is stated in the report of the Generalitat that you have accessed Vozpópuli. It is an update of the one published at the beginning of the week and which was also delivered to the Catalan political formations. The new conclusions about the evolution of the pandemic are devastating. And they complicate the elections on 14-F, despite the reluctance of the PSC and the Government of Spain itself.
“If the measures implemented so far do not stop the current growth of cases, the occupation of critical beds and the impact on non-covid care pressure, as of February 14, it could be comparable to that of the first wave of the epidemic “, reads a new conclusion of the report.
The forecasts of the Catalan authorities have worsened in recent hours. In his opinion, the peak of the third wave will be reached at the end of January, when the electoral campaign begins. And the peak of hospital admissions in the days around the date of the elections, on February 14.
The report poses two scenarios. The first foresees between 4,500 and 5,000 infections per day. And an ICU occupation of 670 patients on February 3. The second scenario raises the positives to 6,000 per day. And it estimates the presence of 770 people in the community’s intensive care units. The Health Department points out that at this level of infections it is impossible to properly track them and considers that the wave of cases will mean the cancellation of surgeries and other non-covid health care.
“Intensive dedication to all levels of care and professional resources to care for covid patients and now maintain the rate of vaccination”, explains the report.
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