The Czech elections are a warning to PiS!

Why? It’s easy. Simply put, it can be said that the ‘anti-Babia’ program won, which was considered too weak a program throughout the rule of the controversial prime minister. Of course, the two coalitions that defeated ANO (they have a total of 108 seats in the 200-seat Chamber of Deputies) have some programs, but the main message of the campaign was one – anti-Babia. So far, that is for eight years, it has not worked. Experts said it was not enough that it was weak. And yet. Managed to. Babiš was defeated and no one expected it. Andrej Babiš himself contributed significantly to this – primarily by “cannibalizing” his possible allies – voters of the left (communists and socialists) voted more for ANO than for the pure left. This strengthened ANO (or reduced its losses), but eliminated those weakening parties so much that they did not enter parliament. Babiš has and still has the largest parliamentary club, but it has no allies. The anti-Babia program won these elections, although it was described as devoid of perspectives and meaningless. It was also decided by small and in total negligible transfers of the undecided or hesitating electorate. This was probably influenced by such matters as the Pandora papers scandal revealed just before the election and the tactical error of ANO. The Movement waged a fierce negative campaign against the Pirates. This campaign was effective (for the Pirates, these elections are a defeat, or indeed: a pogrom), but again – it could discourage (through its aggressiveness and aggressiveness) some of the undecided electorate.

Of course, the above comments do not suggest any (programmatic) similarity between the Polish Law and Justice party and the Czech billionaire movement, Andrej Babiš. These are two separate worlds. But the similarity is different. For example, the fact that ANO was (so far) strong thanks to the weakness of the opposition, which was unable to offer anything other than the anti-Babia program. There was and will continue to be a great mobilization of all forces against Prime Minister Babiš’s ANO, in which the big media, intellectuals, the cultural front and various non-governmental organizations participated (and will probably continue to do so).

Babiš, like PiS, is not defenseless, still has some media in his hands (not the public ones), has a large percentage of voters on his side, has a bizarre but effective charism that appeals to some (not a small) part of Czech citizens , he is very rich (unlike Kaczynski) and has what PiS does not have – probably the best advisers in Central Europe, PR specialists, thanks to whom his propaganda almost always brings the desired effect.

In the last year, Andrej Babiš focused on a generous social policy (just like the Polish ruling party) and after the covid crisis (?), His losses in the face of the helplessness of the Czech authorities in the face of this crisis are ridiculously small. An effective opposition would only be able to destroy it by arguing with the incredible chaos that Babiš introduced to the Czech Republic with his manual control and clumsy crisis management (much worse than we have dealt with in Poland). Faced with this fact, the scale of the ANO movement’s failure is ridiculously small. Let us add by the way that the opposition basically supported and supports all the restrictions and restrictions that the current government introduced. The differences in the overall understanding of this “pandemic” situation are small, so to say cosmetic (although on some specific points they can be significant).

Some of the opposition (one could say part of the anti-system opposition, not the one that has now defeated ANO) tried to build their electoral narrative on the negation of the official approach to this issue, but the response in society was minimal. The only alternative when it comes to treating the health crisis is Tomio Okamura’s Justice – Direct Democracy (SPD) party (yes, the name does not lie, the Czech parliament will now include two Japanese origin, Tomio Okamura and his brother, who ran on behalf of the coalition Together) which promotes common sense and has consistently been against various restrictions for citizens. It can be said that the SPD, which in the annual reports of the Ministry of the Interior is referred to as an extremist party, is the only parliamentary force fighting for civil liberties, which neither the government forces nor the majority of the parliamentary opposition did.

Vladimir Petrilak

Election results with 65 percent turnout:

SPOLU coalition (Together, i.e. right-wing ODS, peasant party and TOP 09 – 27.8%), i.e. 71 seats

Prime Minister Babiš’s ANO movement – 27.12%, or 72 seats

coalition of PIRATES and STAN (independent mayors) – 15.6%, or 37 seats

T. Okamura’s SPD (the so-called patriotic right) – 9.6%, 20 seats

coalitions

TOGETHER:

ODS – 34 armchairs

People’s People (ČSL-KDU) – 23

TOP 09 (Liberals) – 14

PIRATES and STATE

STAN – 33

Pirates – 4

These two coalitions a few hours after the end of voting announced a joint Memorandum, in which, having 108 seats in the Chamber of Deputies (Sejm), they declared their will to form a majority government, the head of the ODS, Petr Fiala, is to be Prime Minister. Andrej Babiš recognized his loss, but emphasizes that he has the strongest parliamentary club.


Source: Salon24.pl: Strona główna by www.salon24.pl.

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