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Local, targeted lockdowns are needed against variants. Professor Roberto Battiston defines them as “surgical”. “We are on a very risky ridge, an unhealthy situation”, underlines the physicist, former president of’Italian Space Agency. The epidemic is in a phase marked by a very slow decline, “in which we cannot stay much longer, because it can lead to many more deaths”. The general lockdown “is a politically and socially difficult action to carry out, but it may not be necessary”. Better to think on a local scale and, above all, “intervene immediately”. Once again, there is a need to prevent, not chase the virus.
The English variant is frightening, “but there is also the Brazilian one,” Battiston warns. The case of Umbria teaches this, with the province of Perugia in the grip of the Brazilian one, while the province of Terni is definitely in better conditions. “A laboratory, Umbria”, to look at to understand how to intervene in a different way on outbreaks.
The determining factor is time. “The battle is won by immediately circumscribing the area where the virus is spreading,” Battiston points out. To do this, sooner and better, to act as promptly as possible, we need the numbers detected on a provincial scale and when possible, on a municipal scale, at least for medium-large municipal areas. “The data is there for the provinces: for the municipalities it is necessary to bring them out, so a greater effort is needed”, points out the physicist from Trentino, inviting them to “use them intelligently, it is time to make the most of them” because “the data often they exist, but they are often not used consistently: the information they contain is very important to understand what is happening and prevent the virus from advancing ”.
Here, what is happening? Based on the evidence revealed by the Istituto Superiore di Sanità’s investigation into the English variant, the physicist and president of the Accademia dei Lincei, Giorgio Parisi, sees “a great storm” looming on the horizon. For Battiston in much of the country, “we are in the midst of the second wave”. New infected and dead are still too many. Of the regions, only the Aosta Valley saw its numbers decrease, reaching the levels of September. Encouraging decreases are also recorded in Veneto and Piedmont, “but overall the decrease is very slow, the situation is stationary”. And therefore, Battiston argues, if the variants were to start running, “at that point we would arrive in the third wave within a few weeks”. Hence the need to intervene immediately by collecting and analyzing the data collected on a local scale. “With closures that are also very hard, but limited and immediately arranged”. So without lingering in “discussions, debates and political controversies that waste precious time”, says Battiston bluntly, “in this situation even a week makes a big difference”. Act as soon as possible and on a local scale, therefore. Also because “closing a region is more difficult and risks being useless – concludes Battiston – It is time to focus on provincial data to promptly arrange local and surgical lockdowns”.
Source: Huffington Post Italy Athena2 by www.huffingtonpost.it.
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