The experts of the OMT write this in a letter to the Lower House. There are two reasons for the strict requirement of the experts.
Firstly, the pressure on healthcare remains ‘undiminished’. In addition, there are still many contagious people. Experts suspect that it currently concerns more than 170,000 people. The R-number is above one (1.03), which means that the epidemic is not yet extinguishing.
There are concerns at the OMT about compliance with the measures. It could be worse than modeled. That is why easing is currently ‘not justified’.
Incidentally, the OMT expects that the peak in hospital admissions has been reached and the chance of a further increase has decreased. Nevertheless, ‘confirmation of the decline’ is first necessary before easing can be done.
Last weekend, the outgoing cabinet already decided to postpone the second step of the so-called Opening Plan. The intention was to open flow locations in the open air from 11 May, but that was called off on the advice of the OMT.
“We see that the figures are past their peak, but the decrease is not yet sufficiently visible to be able to take the next step of the Opening Plan responsibly,” the cabinet reported.
The OMT also advises the cabinet to wait with new Fieldlab events for the time being. The strict rules that now apply to the experiments must continue to apply.
For example, people must wear a mouth mask when they move and everyone must have themselves tested within 24 hours after the event and five days after the event. The bubbles must also be ‘as small as possible’ during the events, so that source and contact research can be carried out quickly in the event of contamination.
If all these conditions are met, it will be possible, according to the OMT, to safely organize Fieldlab events again.
Effect of curfew
The members of the OMT also have an afterburner for people who think they should say something about the effect of the curfew, notes political reporter Marieke van de Zilver:
Ernst Kuipers, the chairman of the National Acute Care Network, said last week at Beau’s table that the curfew had hardly had any effect:
The OMT states that the effect of this measure ‘cannot be read from a row of recordings, but requires a thorough scientifically based analysis’.
‘Do not calculate exactly’
Van Dissel maintains his earlier position on the curfew: experts have always assumed a decrease in new infections of 8 to 13 percent. Nevertheless, this cannot be calculated exactly in connection with the combination of other measures, Van Dissel admits. After Kuipers’ statements, the RIVM already said that it has no idea how he got the curfew figures.
Source: RTL Nieuws by www.rtlnieuws.nl.
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