According to them, in the next five years we can expect the continuation of the former French foreign policy: significant attention to the unified policy of the European Union, strengthening NATO, it is especially relevant for Lithuania and other Eastern European countries in the context of the Ukrainian war.
In Sunday’s French presidential election, Macron, according to preliminary data, won 58.6 percent. Marine Le Pen, a far-right candidate with 41.4 per cent. votes.
He became the country’s first re-elected leader since 2002, when Jacques Chirac succeeded. Macron’s predecessors, Nicolas Sarkozy and Francois Hollande, led France for one term each.
“The whole of Europe, including Lithuania, can breathe easier because relations will be stable,” said Linas Kojala, head of the Center for Eastern European Studies (RESC) at BNS.
“France’s foreign policy has a clear direction on issues that are important to us, both in terms of France’s commitment to NATO, including the defense of the east wing, and in terms of decisions in the European Union,” the political scientist added.
According to the head of the RESC, E. Macron, who won the election, will be “a very prominent European leader”.
“It will strengthen the image of the West as those who are able to agree with each other and can be determined in the face of various geopolitical challenges,” the political scientist said.
According to L. Kojala, the role of the French president will be strong also due to the lack of leadership in Berlin, especially in the face of the Russian war in Ukraine.
Gintas Karalius, a lecturer at the Institute of International Relations and Political Science at Vilnius University, added to him: There is no other leader who can speak on a European scale. “
However, political scientists emphasize the need for unity in decision-making in the Community, and the French President will have to look for points of contact with other countries.
“I think France will be the one to continue to actively come up with ideas. “We will see the French proposals, which may not be implemented, but will set a certain tone,” L. Kojala said.
However, Karalius emphasized that there would probably be no significant changes in Macron’s foreign policy.
“We will see a further attempt to strengthen the EU, to make it a geopolitically active player, which is very favorable for Lithuania,” he explained.
Attitude towards Russia
According to L. Kojala, after the re-election of the President of France, the issue of the embargo on Russian oil and possibly other energy resources should return to the EU table.
“Sanctions against Russia will be an area where I think France will push Germany even further. (…) I think we will hear the debate on oil again very soon, it may have calmed down a bit in recent weeks, partly due to the electoral context, as Le Pen may have used it to talk about rising prices, inflation, ” considered a political scientist.
At the time, a TSPMI lecturer said the French tone was likely to tighten against Russia, which had begun war in Ukraine, but radical change was not worth the expectation.
“It simply came to our notice then. It will be a continuation of the current policy of E. Macron: strengthening of sanctions, diplomatic isolation, attention to strengthening of European military power “, G.Karalius pointed out.
According to him, parliamentary elections will take place in France in the summer, so the country’s leader “may be careful with decisions” to strengthen his party’s chances of winning.
Kojala, for his part, added that Macron could continue to look for ways to resolve the war caused by Russia through diplomatic means.
“It’s a kind of French DNA – never forget that the diplomatic path can also settle the situation,” the political scientist explained.
Source: 15min.lt – suprasti akimirksniu | RSS by www.15min.lt.
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