«The British data tells us that the risk of ending up in hospital is one third compared to Delta. As for mortality it is still early, we do not have enough data, but we expect a similar reduction. Some studies show that the replication capacity is higher in the upper respiratory tree (hence the contagiousness), but lower in the lungs, where the most serious damage occurs. The third piece of good news is that T-cell-mediated immunity – important for protecting those infected with severe disease – stays well for several months. ‘ This was stated by the coordinator of the Primary and Scientific Technical Committee of the Child Jesus Franco Locateli in an interview with Repubblica.
«Even in Italy hospitalizations are growing less than infections, thanks in large part to vaccination. From Great Britain comes a further figure, that of the effectiveness of the third dose: 88% in preventing hospitalization “, underlines Locatelli, who however does not unbalance the trend of the pandemic in 2022.” We need a crystal ball “.
“We are in a phase of almost exponential growth of infections”, he specifies. “The weekly incidence per 100 thousand inhabitants has more than doubled in 7 days, going from 350 to 783. If it is true that on December 20 the Istituto Superiore di Sanità estimated Omicron at 21%, today we are on higher values for both contagiousness than for the shorter incubation », adds Locatelli.
President Macron has announced difficult weeks for the French. For the British Minister of Health, on the other hand, we have to live with the virus and no other measures are needed. “I would absolutely not espouse the idea of letting the virus run”, comments Locatelli. “Even if the data from British researchers show that hospitalizations are reduced to a third with Omicron, a marked increase in infections would have a heavy impact on the health system. Even with less severe symptoms, an uncontrolled surge would lead to an increase in hospitalizations and casualties. In Italy 1.3 million people over the age of 60 are not vaccinated. It is a group of compatriots who are taking a lot of risk today ».
Would the obligation serve? «It is a choice that belongs to politics because it has not only health, but also ethical and social values. I’ve always been a proponent of the optional vaccine. But now as a health technician I say that the conditions are ripe for the obligation to respond to the health needs of patients with Covid or with different diseases », he insists.
As for the reduction of isolation, Locatelli comments: «The British data on Omicron say that 7 days after diagnosis, 5-10% of those infected retain an ability to infect. If the isolation is reduced from 10 to 7 days, of which the last 3 without symptoms, plus a negative tampon, we do not run great risks and we allow many people to get back to work, including the health workers ».
Source: by www.diariodelweb.it.
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