Lo de Catalunya, in a minute and a half

You have all the details of the results of the elections in Catalonia on the cover of eldiario.es. I will give you a brief summary, of a minute and a half. Or even in a paragraph if you’re in a hurry.

In a paragraph. The PSC and ERC share the victory, with a tie at 33 seats. The PSC wins in votes, but the pro-independence parties add up to an absolute majority, most likely they will agree again and Pere Aragonés (ERC) would be president. But anything can happen.

A little more? Ciudadanos, who won the elections in 2017, suffers a debacle: it goes from 30 to 6 seats. That void has been taken advantage of by the PSC, which has doubled its results.

Go, something else. The other victory of the night is that of Vox. Becomes the reference of the Spanish right in Catalonia, beating a disoriented Citizens and a humiliated PP.

What am I missing. You need to know that Junts loses the leadership of sovereignty in the hands of ERC, but is only one seat away. That PDeCat, which presented itself on its own, has not entered the Parliament. That the CUP double seats. That Together We Can remains as was.

And one important thing. Turnout has been a disaster, only 53%. It is the worst data of the autonomic elections of Catalonia. This data removes a plebiscite character from another: 51% of the votes have gone to pro-independence formations.

And now that? Possible pactsThe absolute majority in the Parliament is in the 68 seats. We have a tool to calculate pacts that you can use too. I have calculated these options, but they are just that, options:

  • Independence pact. The sum of ERC + Junts + CUP is the one that ended up making its way four years ago and could be reissued, although the CUP will set conditions. It is the most likely option.
  • Left pact. The combination of PSC + ERC + En comú adds an absolute majority. It would be a scenario with Salvador Illa as president and ERC, taking large quotas of power and concessions from Moncloa. This scenario has been dismissed by all parties. It is unlikely. But there it is.
  • PSC gives power to ERC. If ERC and Junts do not understand each other after years of hard coexistence, there may be another combination: that the PSC, to avoid a purely pro-independence government and in exchange for support in Madrid, give its support to ERC so that it forms a government with the Comuns. A carambola.

You want more, right? Well here more and better:


And also … vaccines

We change the subject and return to the pandemic.

When we talk about vaccines we always think of “when I get it, I will no longer be able to get sick from Covid”. And that is true. But there is another important part of the story. Do the vaccinated transmit the virus? That is, although your body protects you through the vaccine, can we infect others who are not vaccinated?

The answer to that question is essential to calculate when we can end the pandemic: if the vaccine is capable of cutting the contagion dry, it will be much faster. For every vaccine that is given, we protect not just one person but more. If, on the other hand, when we get the vaccine we protect ourselves but we continue to be transmitters of the virus, then everything will be slower, because also inevitably vaccinated people will have a more relaxed behavior.

We have asked experts and this they tell us.

Passport. The later the vaccination is completed, the more social differences will begin to exist between those who are vaccinated and those who are not. That generates social strata, whether we like it or not. Several countries are already trying health passports and immunity cards, documents that allow us to cross borders and… we’ll see what else. I make up the examples, but I see it coming: “Immune parties! Bring your card ”,“ Unvaccinated South Africans are not allowed in this place ”,“ Pay a plus and reserve your seat in the safe area for vaccinated only ”. You have to hurry with the doses , that we can have a world full of scars.

History of anti-vaccines. The first vaccine was designed in 1796 to try to end smallpox. For fifty years, scientific pedagogy had to contend with anti-vaccine resistance, which at least at that time had some real fears to point to: vaccination sometimes caused secondary infections or side effects that prevented, for example, going to work, which meant a loss of income or even employment. That’s where it all started.


Don’t let it pass you

  • Trump emerged victorious from impeachment in the Senate, as planned. That reinforces Trumpism within the Republicans, who already want settle accounts internally.
  • This conversation between two of the journalists who best explain things in Spain: José Antonio Zarzalejos and our colleague Iñigo Sáenz de Ugarte.
  • Comparison of trans laws. A review of the solution that other countries have found to a social demand that causes tensions in the government of Spain.
  • The “Portuguese way”, the alternative proposed by the Government to not regulate the rent as promised. Instead of regulating prices, there would be tax benefits for homeowners who voluntarily limit the price.
  • A touch on the door of the bar. The story of how the spark that unleashed the brutal attack by two police officers in a powder magazine called Linares.
  • ‘Against optimism’ is a very suggestive, interesting and well written political text by Santiago Alba Rico in Ctxt. “Pessimism is the only way to face the coming times with dignity and without cynicism.”


Things i didn’t know

  • I did not know that Bambi was interpreted at the time as an anti-Nazi metaphor. The book in which the Disney film is inspired was a novel for adults (what a surprise, right? With the pleasantness to see that Bambi is …), which was banned in 1936 during Hitler’s Germany as an allegory of suffering of Jews in Europe. The book was actually written 10 years before Hitler came to power, but its author, Felix Salten, had to leave the country. I have read it in this report.
  • I did not know that climate change ship traffic is increasing in the Arctic. As the ice melts, more navigable water remains during winter. And it is already known that every inch that is given, the economic activity takes it.
  • He did not knowAnd that I have been using Twitter intensively since 2008, that the bird on the social network logo has a name. His name is Larry. And now comes a detail for basketball fans: his name is Larry after Larry Bird, a Boston Celtics player whose last name means ‘bird’ in English. I have seen it here.

And this is where we have come today. More tomorrow.

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