PARIS – After a final series of meetings last night, the campaign for the French presidential elections ends at midnight today. Afterwards, public meetings, the distribution of flyers and the digital propaganda of candidates will be prohibited. No interview, survey or estimate of the results will be published before Sunday at 8pm. And it will be the end of a singular first round campaign for the Fifth Republic: frozen by the Covid-19 crisis, and engulfed by the war in Ukraine.
By fueling the surge in energy and food prices, the conflict has further underscored the urgency of providing answers to the French about their purchasing power, their main concern.
In this context, the voting intentions measured by the pollsters draw a scenario identical to that of 2017, with Emmanuel Macron and the candidate Rn Marine Le Pen qualified for the second round, and Macron ultimately victorious.
But is it guaranteed? In the event of the Macron / Le Pen second round, the “republican front” could crack to block the way for the far-right candidate, while the five-year period saw the emergence of a current of “antimachronism” in public.
Le Pen, who worked to polish his image even though his project remains “radical” at the migratory and institutional level, rises by 2 points in a week, to 22%.
While voting intentions for Macron, who campaigned at a low, dropped to 26%, according to the latest OpinionWay-Kéa Partners barometer released Thursday by The Parisian. And the gap narrows in the second round: Emmanuel Macron would win against Marine Le Pen with 53-47%, against 55-45% a week ago.
Third in voting intentions around 16%, the candidate of La France insoumise Jean-Luc Melenchon he hopes to be a spoilsport, brandishing the need for a “useful vote” that will allow the left to stand up in the second round.
The level of abstention, which could reach or even exceed the record of 28.4% in 2002 (22.2% in 2017), will be one of the keys to reading the electoral results.
On the right, Valerie Pecressea LR candidate, is credited with around 9% ex aequo with the far-right and polemicist candidate Eric Zemmour. L’ecologo Yannick Jadot he is credited with 5% and always left, the Communist Fabien Roussel with 3.5%.
Pecresse and Malenchon will not give instructions votes
Eliseo candidate for Les Républicains, Valérie Pécresse, fifth in the polls, told France Inter this morning that she would not give voting instructions in the event of a second round between Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen. The French don’t want instructions. I will say who I vote for, but no instructions, she announced, assuring that the French are free, they vote.
Ditto the candidate of France Insoumis. Jean-Luc Mélenchon, third in voting intentions with around 15%, indicated that he would not have given voting instructions to his voters if he had not passed the first round. I don’t give myself a right that I don’t have, he explained to Bfmtv. The instructions no longer make sense in general today, he added.
Read: “If Le Pen wins in France, it’s a victory for Putin”
“If on April 24 there were a Marine Le Pen victory (in the presidential elections in France, ed) it would be Putin’s greatest success. I think he could stop the tanks in Ukraine, because he would win his main battle, get into the heart of Europe. The secretary of the Democratic Party, Enrico Letta, said it live on Live in on SkyTg24.
Source: RSS DiariodelWeb.it Esteri by www.diariodelweb.it.
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