The ANO movement would win the parliamentary elections at the turn of April and May with a gain of 31 percent of the vote. The Spolu coalition (ODS, TOP 09 and KDU-ČSL) would get 25 percent of the votes. This follows from the model of the Kantar agency for Czech Television (ČT), which was created before the announcement of the government austerity package. Combined with the Pirates and STAN, the government coalition would not get a majority in the House of Representatives, it would have 43 percent of the votes.
The predicted profit of the Spolu coalition is 2.5 percentage points lower compared to the previous model. The opposition ANO worsened by 1.5 points. “It follows from the current situation with the mandates that the government coalition would not form a majority, not even if the TOGETHER movement ran, and not even with the parties separately. Then the question arises as to who the ČSSD would side with,” said Kantar analyst Nikola Kopáčová in CT. According to ČT, the Pirates took third place with 11.5 percent of the votes.The SPD with 9.5 percent, STAN with 6.6 percent and ČSSD with 5.5 percent of the votes would also get into the lower house.
If the parties were to run individually, ANO would win again with 30.5 percent, the second ODS would have 17 percent and the Pirates 11 percent of the votes. “The situation is gradually getting worse for ODS, whose number of voters is decreasing, with voters most often switching to the ANO movement. It is very easy to see the unifying line, which is great dissatisfaction with the work of the government,” added the analyst. Seats in the House of Representatives would also be won by the SPD with nine percent, STAN with six, ČSSD with 5.5 percent, and the KDU-ČSL with five percent of the votes.
From April 17 to May 5, 981 respondents entered the electoral model for individual parties. The poll’s margin of error is 1.1 to 3.5 percentage points in either direction.
Source: Zprávy – Tiscali.cz by zpravy.tiscali.cz.
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