Many are asking, accustomed to the institutional grammar of yesteryear, if Conte intends to go up to Colle to resign, perhaps after the speech in the Chamber tomorrow, avoiding the vote. To then get a re-assignment and then reopen the game. With Renzi, who has filed his abstention, and therefore keeping it open in turn, or perhaps without Renzi because, once a discontinuity has been established, at that point even the responsible operation can be facilitated by a semblance of political dignity. In the sense that it is one thing to rush to the government’s rescue in the name of the cadrega, another thing is to save face by pretending that a political operation is underway: a new program, a new government, and so on.
In many, within the Democratic Party, this thing is whispered under the roar of the official line and also within the Five Stars where every head is now a court, because, they say, “it is complicated to govern with a small majority”. The answer, to the Hamletic question, is an abrupt “no”. Conte has no intention of resigning either before or after the vote, either in the House or in the Senate. Nor does he have all this intention of going up to the Colle to report or explain how to go forward if he is not called to report. The important thing is to take an extra vote, period, even if at Palazzo Madama on Tuesday the famous threshold 161, or the absolute majority, should not be reached. The president’s reasoning starts from an assumption, the “never again with Renzi”, accompanied by the excitement of the challenge and a badly concealed personal grudge: “I offered him everything – he repeats – I have also looked for him twice and not he replied, I also looked for a third one with the obscured number of Palazzo Chigi, nothing ”. And it comes to castling as a strategy, the most classic way to get by: I collect the vote in the House, on the basis of that and in a climate of environmental pressure I go to the Senate, I take one more vote, whatever it is, even 154 with senators for life, and that point I saved the ghirba by showing that there is no other possible majority.
The script is already written: many will bring up Mattarella, asking the head of state for a judgment and an intervention in front of a majority that is not a majority, fragile, narrow, politically inadequate in this context which would require much more strength and cohesion. And it will be a bit like howling at the moon because the head of state, this head of state, can do little in front of an incumbent president who has no intention of resigning his mandate. That he likes this bad habit is quite another matter, and in fact he does not appreciate it. Just as he has doubts about the advice he heard at Palazzo Chigi, very different from his own wishes. But, as he is interpreting his role in a notarial way, Mattarella intends to enter the field only if there is a full-blown crisis, not a creeping political crisis. The point is not whether a minority government is legitimate: a tome could be written on the precedents starting from Andreotti’s government of “no mistrust”. The point is that, if the president had wanted to interpret his role in a more interventionist way, always in the context of his functions, he would have already done so. Emphasizing, from now on in the talks that have taken place, the need for a self-sufficient majority on the upcoming budgetary obligations (the gap) that require a qualified majority. Which is what Giorgio Napolitano did with Berlusconi: first he set some stakes, in a context of absolute emergency that required solidity of government, and then he summoned him to Colle after a vote on the “report”, passed to the House with a relative majority.
Instead: Conte is preparing to move forward, even with one more vote, Renzi abstains in a position almost as external support, the Quirinale, so far, observes. It is simply the photograph of impotence, in which no one has the strength to change the degree of entropy of the system, nor Renzi to break it, nor the government to stabilize it nor the Democratic Party to change it, after seven months in which he talks about “Turning”, until entropy leads to collapse. Maybe there will be trust, and this will be experienced by some as a victory, but the issue of stability remains uncovered in all its evidence, hanging from the vote of the Renzians on the budget and always at risk of accident. We will continue to talk about reshuffling, so as not to disappoint the appetites of the hungry, the hunt for parliamentarians will continue, and so on. While waiting for the numbers, we can already see the triumph of political inconclusiveness, in which there is never a decisive moment and a landing at a fixed point: vaccines, tracking, immune, Recovery, Alitalia, the list is long. The verification, the reshuffling, the managers are not even concluded. Nothing at all.
Source: Huffington Post Italy Athena2 by www.huffingtonpost.it.
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