Important economic data is coming – What can be expected on the stock markets today?


What are the current events on the stock exchanges?

  • The leading American stock indexes closed mixed yesterday, the Dow Jones ended the day down 0.6 percent, the S&P 500 fell 0.1 percent, while the Nasdaq rose 0.1 percent.
  • Asian stock markets are showing a positive mood this morning, the Nikkei is down 1.66 percent, the Hang Seng is up 0.17 percent, while the CSI 300 is up 0.38 percent.
  • The European future stock indices predict an unfavorable opening, the DAX may fall by 0.23 percent, the CAC may open by 0.05 percent, while the FTSE may fall by 0.01 percent.
  • American stock markets may open with a fall, based on the current state of the future stock indices, the Dow Jones may open 0.13 percent lower, the S&P 500 may fall 0.15 percent, while the Nasdaq may fall 0.31 percent.

What can be expected on the macro front?

Today, the MNB will present the balance sheet statistics of Hungarian banks, German retail sales data will be released, and the other most important data of the week, the US unemployment data, will also be released. The Fed is also paying close attention to the latter, the central bank expects that employment will soon slow down due to its monetary policy. If this happens, it could bring relief to the stock markets, but a much better than expected data could lead to a reversal again.

November 28 – December 4, 2022. Macro calendar
Hungarian macroeconomics
november 28. Monday 9:00 KSH Investments Q3
november 28. Monday 9:00 KSH By the brain Oct.
november 30. Wednesday 9:00 KSH Producer prices Q3
november 30. Wednesday 11:30 AKK 3-month dkj auction
december 1. Thursday 9:00 KSH GDP (second estimate) Q3
december 1. Thursday 9:00 KSH Foreign trade (second estimate) Sept.
december 2. Friday 8:30 MNB Balance sheets of credit institutions Oct.
International macroeconomics
november 29. Tuesday 9:00 Spaino. Inflation nov.
november 29. Tuesday 14:00 German. Inflation nov.
november 29. Tuesday 16:00 USA Consumer sentiment nov.
november 30. Wednesday 0:50 Japan Industrial production Oct.
november 30. Wednesday 2:00 China BMI (process and service) nov.
november 30. Wednesday 8:45 Franciao. Inflation nov.
november 30. Wednesday 9:55 German. Unemployment nov.
november 30. Wednesday 11:00 EU Inflation nov.
november 30. Wednesday 14:15 USA ADP unemployment nov.
november 30. Wednesday 14:30 USA GDP (second estimate) Q3
november 30. Wednesday 19:30 USA Powell speech
december 1. Thursday 2:45 China Caixin BMI (processing) nov.
december 1. Thursday 8:00 German. Retail trade Oct.
december 1. Thursday 11:00 EU Unemployment Oct.
december 1. Thursday 14:30 USA PCE inflation Oct.
december 1. Thursday 16:00 USA ISM BMI nov.
december 2. Friday 8:00 German. Foreign trade Oct.
december 2. Friday 14:30 USA Unemployment nov.
Source: Portfolio collection

What has happened on the stock markets so far?

  • Among the leading American, Asian, European and regional stock indexes this year, the FTSE index is at the top with a 2.4 percent shift, the leading one is the Nasdaq index with a 26.2 percent fall.
  • Among the domestic blue chips this year, Mol’s share performed best with a 12.5 percent increase, while OTP’s paper is at the bottom of the list with a 34.4 percent drop.
  • Among the more important raw materials, the price of Brent has risen by 10.8 percent since the beginning of the year.
More important instruments
Exchange rate 1 nap 1 week 1 month This year One year 5 years
US stock indices
Dow Jones 34 395,01 -0,6% 0,6% 5,3% -5,3% 1,1% 41,9%
S&P 500 4 076,57 -0,1% 1,2% 5,7% -14,5% -9,7% 54,3%
Nasdaq 12 041,89 0,1% 1,7% 6,7% -26,2% -24,2% 90,0%
Asian stock indices
Nikkei 28 226,08 0,9% -0,6% 2,0% -2,0% 1,0% 23,7%
Hang Seng 18 736,44 0,7% 6,1% 21,2% -19,9% -20,8% -35,6%
CSI 300 3 894,77 1,1% 3,7% 7,2% -21,2% -19,6% -2,6%
European stock indices
DAX 14 490,3 0,6% -0,3% 8,6% -8,8% -6,3% 12,7%
CAC 6 753,97 0,2% 0,7% 6,7% -5,6% -1,9% 27,0%
FTSE 7 558,49 -0,2% 1,2% 5,2% 2,4% 5,4% 3,5%
FTSE MIB 24 685,67 0,3% -0,2% 8,3% -9,7% -6,4% 11,7%
IBEX 8 407,9 0,5% 0,2% 5,1% -3,5% -0,5% -16,6%
Regional stock indices
BUX 46 368,37 0,8% 2,4% 12,9% -8,6% -10,6% 21,4%
ATX 3 212,68 -0,6% -1,3% 8,9% -16,8% -13,4% -3,5%
PX 1 214,32 -0,1% -2,4% 2,5% -14,8% -10,9% 14,1%
WIG20 56 867,54 1,4% 1,4% 12,8% -17,9% -17,0% -8,3%
Hungarian blue chips
OTP 10 890 1,3% 1,3% 20,6% -34,4% -39,1% 9,7%
Mol 2 836 0,6% 2,7% 14,2% 12,5% 15,9% -4,9%
Richter 8 500 0,6% 5,1% 3,9% -2,6% -1,6% 25,1%
Magyar Telekom 332,5 0,5% 1,8% 12,0% -19,2% -20,5% -29,1%
Raw materials
WTI 81,12 0,8% 4,2% -8,2% 7,9% 23,7% 39,0%
Brent 86,88 1,7% 2,0% -8,2% 10,8% 25,8% 35,7%
Ratio 1 799,98 2,7% 2,5% 9,4% -1,2% 0,7% 40,3%
Silver 22,63 4,4% 6,3% 15,0% -2,8% 0,7% 37,9%
Foreign currencies
EURHUF 411,4 0,4% 0,0% 1,4% 11,6% 13,4% 31,1%
USDHUF 392,3140 -1,5% -0,7% -4,5% 21,0% 22,6% 48,4%
GBPHUF 479,3750 1,2% -0,4% 1,4% 9,1% 12,6% 34,8%
EURUSD 1,0487 1,8% 0,7% 6,2% -7,8% -7,5% -11,6%
USDJPY 139,5 0,0% 0,8% -5,8% 21,2% 23,5% 23,7%
GBPUSD 1,2267 3,0% 1,0% 7,0% -9,4% -7,9% -9,1%
Cryptocurrencies
Bitcoin 16 977 -1,1% 2,3% -17,1% -63,3% -70,3% 56,6%
Government papers
10-year US Treasury yield 3,53 -4,8% -5,0% -12,9% 135,4% 148,6% 49,2%
10-year German government bond yield 1,82 -6,3% -1,5% -14,3% -1 116,8% -644,9% 502,6%
10-year Hungarian government bond yield 8,51 2,2% 1,9% -16,8% 85,8% 86,6% 299,5%
Source: Refinitiv, Portfolio

Cover image source: getty images


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