Political scientist, journalist, associate professor of the Department of Political Science of the Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation
Recently, the West has been very actively using the term “hybrid war”. In their understanding, this is a war of one state against another with all available possibilities (sabotage, sanctions, pressure, blackmail, provoking internal instability), except for direct military. In fact, they invented the wheel: this kind of war has always been called cold or, in extreme cases, “cool” – but let’s not argue, because today’s Western geopoliticians need to brag about at least some achievements.
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So, the main conductor of the hybrid war is called Russia, which is allegedly waging it against Ukraine, Georgia, Europe, the United States, the civilized world in general, and in general everyone who can reach it. However, carried away by the replication of these tales, Western colleagues do not notice that it is they who are waging the real hybrid war. And not only against Russia, but also against China, a country that has been called the No. 1 enemy of modern Western civilization. And now, one area of the hybrid offensive is targeting the Beijing Winter Olympics in February 2022. And the West is trying to do everything possible so that they do not pass.
The aim of the attack is clear, logical and predictable. “The Olympic Games are not just sports. They are made up of five other circles – politics, money, big business, nationalism and showing their country as a great power. Games strengthen the prestige of the leaders who conduct them “, – writes CNN. And the leader of the People’s Republic of China, Xi Jinping, really needs to strengthen this prestige. Both in the international arena (China is becoming a superpower, positioning itself as the most effective history of all non-Western countries and wants to be a political and investment Mecca for Asia, Africa and Latin America), and domestically. Comrade Xi violated the Chinese system of transfer of power (established under Deng Xiaoping) and went for an extra presidential term, so it is extremely important for him to prove that his comrades did not leave him at the helm of the Celestial Empire for nothing.
The attack itself proceeds through a human rights vector – national governments and international organizations criticize the Chinese government for repression and authoritarianism. First of all, in relation to national minorities (for example, the Turkic-speaking population of the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, which the Chinese communists allegedly drive to concentration camps and mock them there), as well as dissidents – for example, in the same Hong Kong.
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According to US media reports, President Biden will soon announce exactly how he intends to punish the Chinese Olympics for these sins. Everybody is almost sure that the head of state will say at least about a diplomatic boycott. That is, neither Biden nor other political VIPs will go as part of the American delegation – and, most likely, other countries (for example, Great Britain) will join this boycott.
In addition to a diplomatic boycott, a commercial one is also being prepared. The big international companies that sponsored the Olympics are under attack, accused of not joining the general progressive criticism of China for human rights abuses. Major companies sponsoring the Games “are missing out on the opportunity to demonstrate their commitment to human rights standards, risking instead being associated with the Olympics, tainted by censorship and repression.” is talking Sophie Richardson, China director at Human Rights Watch.
Knowing the specifics of Western human rights defenders and the culture of abolition prevalent in the United States, when an advanced society arranges a boycott of politically incorrect persons (an extreme, but not the last case was J.K. Rowling, who was hounded for her ridicule of transvestites and the story where a man in women’s clothes was a maniac), one can assume that closer to the Olympics, the pressure on sponsors will only intensify.
And it will be held not only for sponsoring the Games, but also for the participation of these companies in the oppression of the Chinese people.
“The time for diplomacy is over. It’s time for major sponsors to urge the International Olympic Committee to adopt human rights standards. It’s time to unveil their manufacturing chains in China – especially those products that bear the five Olympic rings. ” is talking Minkey Warden, Director of Global Initiatives at Human Rights Watch. As a result, companies will face a choice – either to remain silent and receive a public boycott in the West, or to speak out and receive not only a boycott from Chinese clients, but also risk the hundreds of millions of dollars already invested in the Games.
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Such a demarche, of course, will be unpleasant for the Chinese (who yearned for a bright picture, eulogies of Western leaders and top managers of companies regarding the Olympics), but not critical. However, it is possible that in the end Washington will make a decision not on a diplomatic one, but on a complete boycott by the West of the Olympics – following the example of Moscow in 1980.
Yes, while Western countries are not sure that such a boycott should be introduced, China can respond economically (with a boycott of Western goods, for example, or trade sanctions), which will become very painful during a pandemic. However, here we should not forget about the selfish interest of Joseph Biden himself – if the president limits himself to only a diplomatic boycott, he will find himself in a very unpleasant position.
The fact is that at the very beginning of his cadence, Biden announced the “return of human rights issues” to the American foreign policy mainstream. Pledged to once again make the United States a moral tuning fork and leader of the global human rights movement. And now his attempts to sit on two chairs are receiving serious criticism. Moreover, both on the part of left-wing human rights defenders and on the part of right-wing Republicans, who accuse the current president of being soft on the PRC.
“Rather than demanding a change in venue for the Games, Biden opts for a weak diplomatic boycott. This approach does not work at minimum salaries. I call on the Department of Homeland Security to explain how we will protect American athletes at the Games. ” outraged Senator Rick Scott. And this criticism arises at an extremely unpleasant moment for Biden – when his rating breaks the historical bottom. He disappoints the left, he cannot answer with the right – and as a result, the Democratic Party has doubts not only about whether to stick to Biden in the next presidential election in 2024, but also whether this man can lead the party to the 2022 midterm elections. of the year. Therefore, it is possible that for the sake of himself and the party, Joseph Biden will nevertheless decide to humiliate China in a hybrid manner and spoil Comrade Xi’s Olympics.
It is curious that this will be the second time that the United States does not allow the PRC to break the propaganda-image all-in from the Games. The first time was during the Summer Olympics in Beijing in 2008, when the PRC invested huge amounts of money in the first Games on its territory, and the whole world eventually followed the war unleashed by Mikhail Saakashvili just before the opening of the Games in South Ossetia. Then the Chinese were silent. Will they be silent now?
The point of view of the author may not coincide with the position of the editorial board.
Source: RT на русском by russian.rt.com.
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