For Ricolfi, Italy is doing well in the fight against the pandemic also thanks to the “Arcuri effect”

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Luca Ricolfi, Italian writer, Torino-Turin, Italy, 21st April 2017. (Photo by Leonardo Cendamo/Getty Images)

Italy is one of the countries that are facing the pandemic better at this stage. Mortality is among the lowest in Europe. The mortality rate per Italian inhabitant it is lower than the Spanish, French, British, American, Israeli and Canadian ones. Only Germany, among the great Western countries, is able to keep up with the excellent Italian data. The sociologist Luca Ricolfi, in an editorial in the Messenger, states that the reasons are mainly two:

The first reason I will call it the Son effect. Italy, also thanks to the low weight of the under 12 population, has managed to vaccinate a very high share of the population

And then there is the Arcuri effect.

Italy has vaccinated late, and therefore does not yet deal with the problem that afflicts virtuous countries such as Israel, the United States and the United Kingdom, which, precisely because of having vaccinated massively since December, are now struggling with the reduction of effectiveness vaccines, and are forced to resort to the third dose frantically

The Turin sociologist, however, remains cautious on claiming victory in the fight against the virus. Data on mortality and hospitalization they are excellent: a few dozen deaths a day and no more than four hundred patients admitted to intensive care. But these figures must be compared with those of last autumn.

How are things going compared to the same period last year? A little worse, because compared to 12 months we have about double the deaths and the infected. And this despite the vaccine, despite the Green Pass. How is it possible? Simple: the delta variant, which has a much higher reproduction rate than the variant prevailing at the onset of the pandemic, has an impact on the spread of the virus that offsets the vaccine’s impact on lethality.


Source: Huffington Post Italy Athena2 by www.huffingtonpost.it.

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