Express | Nine months of war: Pressure will grow on Ukraine to accept a compromise peace

What can be said about the evolution of the conflict and its current state? “After nine months, what we can say is that winter will bring different problems, but it can also be said that Russian targets are now different (with civilian targets hit, such as the electricity grid, schools, hospitals, etc). It started with arriving in Kiev to change the regime. Now, Russia is not in the best position and is not where it would like to be”, says researcher Lívia Franco.

About what we can expect next, he says: “The big battle of winter will be the battle of breaking morale. And both sides will try to do it.”

As for a negotiated way out of the military conflict, Lívia Franco considers that both parties will have to concede something. Ukraine, for example, has always refused to negotiate with Vladimir Putin. “The political solution may not be on the horizon but we have signs that from the diplomatic point of view something is going on, especially on the side of the USA and Russia”.

With the arrival of winter, there may indeed begin to be pressure on the search for a solution.

“A good part of public opinion can throughout the winter press for peace, and a peace that forces Ukraine at some cost. It will be a very difficult balance.” For example, Ukrainians may be forced to accept that Crimea, in Russian hands since 2014, will not return to their rule.

This is Expresso’s weekly podcast dedicated to the war in Ukraine. Here, every week we look at the most relevant events in the conflict in Eastern Europe.

We seek to go beyond the foam of days and help our listeners to navigate the fog of information that constantly reaches us about the biggest war in Europe since World War II.

In this new season of the Eastern Bloc, I count on the help of two of the greatest specialists in this conflict, which we have become accustomed to reading, seeing and hearing over this time. They are Lívia Franco and Sandra Fernandes, both researchers and university professors, who will be with me alternately. Listen to more episodes here:

Source: Expresso by

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