Engineering, an increase of 15.5% is expected in 2021

16/07/2021 – Despite the pandemic, 2020 was a positive year for the engineering and architecture companies associated with Oice, with a 3.5% increase in 2020 production (for a level of approximately 3 billion euros). Better still should go the 2021 for which a real leap in activity is expected, with a 15.5% expected increase and a production of almost 3.5 billion euros.

The data comes from the 37th Oice / Cer on the performance of the engineering and architecture companies associated with Oice and a sample of non-associated companies presented on Wednesday in an online event with the interventions of Busia (ANAC), Panucci (Min. PA reform), Loffredo (Commercial structure. earthquake) and Pini (ISPRA).

I foreign markets remain the main outlet for production Oice, especially for medium and large companies, but with an expected share that should fall this year to 56.1% of the total (-2.2 points on 2019). A result to be read in a positive way, however, because it is associated with one particularly robust growth of the domestic market (+ 22.2% on 2019), in a simultaneous expansion of the foreign market (+ 17.6% in the two-year period).

From the side of the type of client, the companies detect one greater demand from public entities and enterprises, which this year accounts for 20.2% of total demand (+ 16.6% in 2019).

A part of the Report is dedicated to the analysis ofimpact of the Covid-19 pandemic which results in a high resilience capacity: 2/3 of the companies managed to face the pandemic crisis by greatly limiting the side effects, despite the economic scenario being decidedly negative, indeed 64% recorded an increase in turnover compared to 2019 and by 2021 84% of companies expect an increase in turnover.

Engineering, expectations for 2021

81.6% of companies expect “quite” (53.1%) or “very” (28.6%) significant benefits from PNRR. On the contrary, 18.4% believe that these benefits will be of little significance.

The expectations of companies on the impact that the Superbonus 110% will have on turnover: only 26.2% of companies believe that these initiatives will have a significant impact during the year.

The Government interventions in place in 2020 are judged sufficient or 57% good of companies, but 38% of companies found them insufficient.

Compared to the resumption of activities during the first quarter of 2021, the companies that responded to the Oice / Cer survey showed a “fairly” (61.5%) or “very” (19.6%) significant recovery. For 18.9% of companies, however, the recovery in the first part of 2021 was “minimal”. In future projection, 66.7% of companies expect an increase in the volume of activities also in 2022, with investment forecasts increasing for 51.4% of respondents.

Per Gabriele Scicolone, president of OICE, “The very positive data for 2020, in which the resilience of engineering and architecture companies that were able to continue producing and invoicing (with a +3.5% on 2019, for over 3 billion) with an internal market at +22 % on 2019, thanks also to public demand that has not stopped, they comfort us a lot. We are now also optimistic about the prospects for a real boom in 2021 (estimated at over 14%), with employment growth of over 4500 units compared to 2019. Our companies, moving forward with digitalization, have suffered little from the difficulties associated with to the restrictions and have restarted strongly, also thanks to the effort made by the association which has given significant support both for activities in Italy and abroad where expectations for 2021 are very positive. Now it is necessary to prepare for the challenges of the PNRR and for this reason we are confident that the rules on assignments do not penalize the quality of the project and competition, as far as possible ”.

For the research director, Stefano Fantacone, of the Centro Europa Ricerche, “the expansionary dynamics detected by the sectoral survey must be related to the strong improvement underway for the national economy. The forecast scenario developed by the CER measures GDP growth of 5% for this year and indicates for 2022 the full recovery of product losses caused by the pandemic recession. A cost risk weighs on this scenario, which originates from the tensions occurring on the commodity markets, which however do not appear anomalous when brought back to the intensity of the global recovery in progress and for the moment do not seem to be able to compromise medium-term inflationary stability “.

Source: Le ultime news dal mondo dell'edilizia by

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