Elections 14F: Sánchez strengthens himself in Catalonia

The President of the Government, Pedro Sánchez, is reinforced in the Catalan elections this Sunday, in which his commitment to the former minister Salvador Illa as a socialist candidate has been settled with the victory of the PSC in number of votes, with its best result since 2006. And, in front, the national alternative of the PP comes out weakened after losing to Vox.

After the resignation of Miquel Iceta to repeat as an electoral poster, Sánchez decided to hand over the candidacy to his Minister of Health, reaping criticism from the entire opposition, and even from its United We Can partners, for making this change in the midst of the pandemic.

At the end, the so-called ‘Illa effect’ has worked for socialists, who have achieved victory in votes and have obtained a percentage of the vote in regional elections that they had not seen since 2006, the elections before Ciudadanos emerged. The last time the PSC won a Catalan election in votes was in 2003, with Pasqual Maragall, although it lost in seats to CiU.

Better than in the last generals

In addition, that 23% achieved this Sunday even exceeds the 20.50% that the PSC obtained in the last general elections in Catalonia, despite the fact that in congressional elections, socialists tend to obtain more votes than in regional elections.

The leader of the PSOE reinforces his victory by seeing that, on the contrary, the national alternative represented by the PP comes out very weakened in these electionsSince those of Pablo Casado have only obtained seats in one of the four Catalan provinces (Barcelona) and on top of that they have been widely surpassed by Vox.

If the PP had achieved 7.42% in the last general elections, in this Sunday’s elections it has not reached 4%, worse even than in the previous regional ones. And instead the party led by Santiago Abascal even exceeds the sum of PP and Ciudadanos, which opens a battle for the leadership of the opposition that can facilitate the coalition government with the other parties.

These choices are also positive for United We Can, the partner of the PSOE Government, because after the failures of Galicia and the Basque Country, it manages to retain the parliamentary representation it had in Catalonia. Gone are the times when En Comú was the first party in Catalonia (the generals of 2015 and 2016), but at least it only lost half a point compared to the previous regional elections and repeated the number of deputies.

The unknowns of ERC and Ciudadanos

The unknown for the Government are the consequences that these elections may have on ERC’s behavior in Congress, the foreign ally who, with his abstention, made possible the investiture of Pedro Sánchez and that it supported the General budgets.

If the Republicans choose to reissue the independence alliance with Junts, it would lead them to tighten the rope with the Government and even open fissures between PSOE and United We Can. By cons, If ERC prefers to mark a left-wing profile in Catalonia, the Executive would have an easier time finding support to carry out its governmental agenda.

The other factor that will test the Government will be the behavior of Citizens after their debacle this Sunday. The ‘orange’ party, which despite being in the opposition has allowed the Government to approve extensions of the state of alarm, can opt for confrontation or keep the door open to specific agreements

Source: Cuatro – Noticias de última hora, deportes, programas y series by www.cuatro.com.

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