On the evening of Tuesday, July 13, 2021 AD, Dr. Essam Hajji, a professor and academic at NASA, re-published a scientific paper by Dr. Gary Bolkovich entitled: “The Water Dispute on the Nile River Can Destabilize the Region.” Aroused from the hoopla of insults and slander in the local media in the talk show programs on the results of our research published in the prestigious British Environmental Science Journal on the dangerous effects of the Renaissance Dam on the water deficit in Egypt, the University of California issues an official statement today that supports our research, and sends a message For those who said in our media that the university does not stand together with the results of the research, that their unfortunate opinion represents them alone.
He added that “the University of California, with all its branches, is one of the most advanced American and international universities in the fields of water sciences, where southern California lives with great water scarcity, and therefore has enough international water experts to know the value and validity of the research, and as the university indicated that the research is funded internally in the amount of $80,000 in scientific excellence scholarship for the university.
He pointed out that “after reviewing the research internally and considering requests sent from citizens close to the embassy in the United States to withdraw the research, the university decided to issue this statement today and publish the research on its front page.”
Essam Hajji’s research said that “the Renaissance Dam will increase the already aggravated water deficit in Egypt, and that if matters are not remedied, the average water deficit that Egypt will know will rise from approximately 18 billion cubic meters to 31 billion cubic meters; threatening a decline in the agricultural area from 30 to 72.” % in the event that the filling scenario continues and Egypt’s inability to fill this deficit.
The University of California research warned that the deficit – if not addressed – will cause unemployment rates to reach from 14 to 25% and will cause agricultural sector losses of up to 51 billion dollars and a decrease in per capita output by 8% in the short filling years. The research also shows what is the effectiveness of the proposed solutions and the possibility of their application.
River of Dispute
The research said that “rapid filling of a giant dam in the Nile River – the largest waterway in the world, supporting millions of people – could reduce the water supply to Egypt by more than a third.” He added that “a water deficit of this magnitude, if mismatched, could destabilize a politically volatile part of the world by reducing Egypt’s arable land by up to 72%. Study projects that will bring economic losses to agriculture to $51 billion. Will pay Unemployment GDP losses to 24%.
The research confirmed that “average losses from all announced mobilization scenarios, this water shortage could almost lead to a double deficit in Egypt’s water supply, and would have severe consequences for Egypt’s economy, employment, migration and food supply.”
The research, published on the university’s website, said about 280 million people in 11 countries in the basin have depended on the waterway – a primary source of irrigation for more than 5,000 years. Egypt depends on the Nile for more than 90% of its water. The area’s population could increase by 25% in 30 years, increasing demand at a time when Egypt expects to have less water from the Nile. Water rights along the Nile have been in dispute since 1959; Today, the conflict threatens to escalate into war.
She noted that the University of Southern California study examined dam filling scenarios and the impact of water shortages on Egypt. Based on short-term three- to five-year filling strategies, which are favored by Ethiopia at present, Egypt’s water deficit could nearly double; 83% of the additional water loss would be due to dam restriction flow and evaporation and 17% was lost due to seepage into rock and sand.
Source: بوابة الحرية والعدالة by fj-p.com.
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