current climate commitments will raise the temperature by 2.4ºC according to a new study

Neither the promise to stop deforestation nor all the good intentions declared by the nations participating in the COP26 in Glasgow will be enough to limit the increase in the earth’s temperature to the maximum 1.5ºC. A new study presented at the summit concludes that the proposed measures will make the Earth warm by 2.4ºC more towards the end of the century than the pre-industrial era, which is simply too much.

“There is a huge gap in credibility, commitment and action”

This temperature rise, according to Guardian, would favor extreme weather events. Floods, severe storms, much harsher heat waves and droughts that “would cause devastation across the globe.” Not even the Paris agreements, which sought a maximum increase of 2ºC, would not be fulfilled.

The study has been prepared by Climate Action Tracker, and takes into account the short-term objectives to which countries have committed from now until 2030. If, in addition, real future actions based on current climate policies are taken into account, the temperature it could rise to an average of 2.7ºC. Even worse.

CAT cop26 temperature increase graph

The report’s conclusion speaks for itself: “midway through the Glasgow meeting it is clear that there is a huge void of credibility, commitment and action by the 140 countries responsible for 90% of emissions. “It specifically targets Brazil, Australia and Russia, calling their promises to be carbon neutral as” very hypothetical. “

One of those responsible has also spoken to The Guardian: “we get the feeling that some countries are trying to use COP26 as a channel to make it clear that the 1.5ºC limit increase is close to being achieved. But no, we are far from that, and they are underestimating the need to have short-term objectives that allow us to reach those 1.5ºC. “It is estimated that we would need to reduce CO2 emissions by 45% during this decade alone to achieve this.

In other words, the short-term goals of the countries that emit the most harmful gases must be much more ambitious. Experts insist that the decade from 2021 to 2030 is crucial for avoid irreversible changes in the climate of our planet, and it doesn’t seem like we’re getting off on the right foot.

Image | Matt Palmer

Source: Xataka by

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