Coronavirus: Recession of the pandemic in the two months of April – May

By Dimitra Pananou,

After 15 days, the experts expect to see the first positive results from the new lockdown in Attica and other areas. The outbreak of the pandemic, as they claim, is expected to last throughout February, with worries about the mutations, but also the pressure on the large municipalities.

Speaking to Realnews, EKPA Professor of Social and Preventive Medicine Giannis Tountas stressed that “from March, if there are no surprises, a gradual but slow reduction of the epidemic wave is expected, which will accelerate during the months of April and May, consistent of the weather and the vaccines, to be extinguished at the beginning by mid-summer “.

According to Mr. Tountas, it is easy to criticize in retrospect, but in advance it is difficult to accurately predict the evolution of the epidemic with so many unbalanced factors, such as mutations, non-observance of the respective measures, etc. .

“It is also difficult to meet the needs of public health and the economy at the same time. At present, the strictest measures are taken when the hospital system is under pressure. “Perhaps they should have been taken sooner when the outbreak of the epidemic is detected in time, as happened in mid-January,” he comments on the timing of the imposition of restrictive measures.

Risk for ICU

The professor of Social and Preventive Medicine of EKPA points out that any contact we make with people outside our home carries the risk of infection and the spread of the epidemic. “The more contacts there are, the greater the risk. The current new wave of the second wave is due to the increased social mobility during the holidays and then the opening of schools and retail. To this disturbing development have been added additional concerns, with mutations enhancing transmissibility and possibly mortality, with the morbidity of children, with limited vaccinations to date, and with an increase in hospitalizations, which is causing even greater concern.

Read here the Realnews article.


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