Coronavirus and deaths: Victims are double the statistics, according to studies

“As appalling as the covidu-19 pandemic may seem, this analysis shows that the actual balance is significantly worse.” said IHME Director Chris Murray. According to him, new findings can help the public to understand the extent of the coronavirus crisis, while providing the authorities with additional information for planning.

The fact that in many countries official statistics do not cover all deaths caused by covid-19 for a long time, data on the overall mortality during the pandemic have long been evidenced. It is these data and their comparison with mortality in recent years that are the basis of the IHME study. “This ‘excess mortality’ was then adjusted to deduct deaths that could be indirectly attributed to the pandemic, as well as deaths prevented by the pandemic. The resulting revised estimates include only deaths directly caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus, ”the research authors explain.

Even when applying this methodology are the countries with the highest death toll, the United States, where, according to IHME covid-19, as of May 3, it caused 905,000 deaths and not less than 575,000 registered by the authorities. India came in second, whose official balance at the time was 221,000 dead, but the actual number of deaths was almost tripled, according to the authors of the analysis.

An even more striking difference between the official figure and the reality is shown by the study in the case of Russia. At the beginning of the month, it reported almost 110,000 deaths from covid-19, while the disease reportedly had nearly 600,000 victims in the country. According to IHME, the actual number of deaths is several times higher than reported in Egypt, Japan, Kazakhstan or Albania.

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The Czechia ranks the studies among the 20 countries with the highest numbers of deaths per 100,000 inhabitants

The Czechia ranks the studies among the 20 countries with the highest numbers of deaths per 100,000 inhabitants, but not at the top of the ranking where the Czech Republic currently finds itself when comparing official statistics. The IHME calculation set the incidence of death at 386.8 cases per 100,000 population, which is 110 higher than the government’s total figure at the time. According to the analysis, Poland and Hungary were very similar, Slovakia reportedly had almost 430 deaths per 100,000 inhabitants caused by covid-19.

In the case of Slovakia, the increase is almost double, as the authorities reported only 216.6 deaths per 100,000 inhabitants. The eastern neighbor of the Czech Republic is in 11th place in the IHME table for Peru, Romania or Mexico, the worst out of comparison is Azerbaijan with a value of 648.8.

“Many countries have been extremely committed to measuring the consequences of a pandemic, but our analysis shows how difficult it is to accurately map new and rapidly spreading infectious diseases.” commented on the results of statistics and public health expert Murray.

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