Contagions peak, never so many since May. No-vax death rate 9 times higher

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People wait outside a COVID-19 rapid test point in Rome

Peak of infections in the last 24 hours, with 11,555 new positives for the SarsCoV2 virus. Such a high number had not been registered since last May 6. The worsening trend of the Covid-19 epidemic in Italy is therefore confirmed, with 49 victims in one day, while the Higher Institute of Health (ISS) notes that the heaviest effects in terms of deaths and hospitalizations are found among the unvaccinated people, among whom the death rate is 9 times higher.

The new data from the ISS extended surveillance report show that the death rate in unvaccinated people (65 per 100,000) is about nine times higher than in vaccinated with a full cycle within six months (7 per 100,000) and six times higher. high compared to vaccinated with a full course for over six months (11 per 100,000). In addition, 64% of ICU admissions in the past month have occurred among those who have not received any dose of Covid vaccine.
The decline in efficacy of immunizers after six months is also highlighted: the protection determined by the vaccine for those vaccinated for more than 6 months drops from 95% to 82%, says the ISS, underlining that “after 6 months from the completion of the vaccination cycle there is a sharp decrease in vaccination efficacy in preventing diagnoses in all age groups “.

With this epidemic picture, the president Iss Silvio Brusaferro observed, “future scenarios depend on our behavior: if in Italy the growth curve of the contagion is relatively more contained than in neighboring countries, it is because we are a country that has more vaccination coverage. high. If the game we are playing is analyzed from minute to minute, the suggestion – he reiterated – is certainly to take the third dose, even to those 40% of over 80s who are often frail with pathologies “.

However, at the moment, no one can say if the third dose will be enough: “Perhaps the 3 doses may be the cycle that immunizes for a long time, or some reminders may be needed, the acquisition of scientific evidence on the coverage is in progress”, he said. explained the president Iss, also specifying that the new anti-Covid pill that will soon arrive in Italy “is not an alternative tool to the vaccine: they are two different and complementary logics”.

The numbers of the daily bulletin of the Ministry of Health confirm the clear trend of the curve rising, albeit with a slower trend than in other European countries. The new infections therefore go from 10,544 yesterday to 11,555 and there are 49 victims in one day (yesterday 48). The positivity rate is 2%, stable compared to yesterday, and there are 512 patients in intensive care (stable over 24 hours). On the other hand, the hospitalized in ordinary wards are 4,250, or 105 more.

He invites the virologist Fabrizio Pregliasco to raise the level of attention as well, noting that “in the worst scenario, the mathematical models tell us that we could reach 30 thousand cases a day over 3-4 weeks if measures are not implemented. prevention such as incentivizing vaccinations, reviewing the green pass by adopting the 2G model, i.e. with access only to vaccinated or cured people in recreation areas but maintaining the possibility of a tampon to go to work, and having greater awareness of the danger by limiting contacts “.

What is worrying, as also reported in the last weekly monitoring of the control room, are now above all the regions of the north-east, such as Friuli Venezia Giulia, Veneto and the autonomous province of Bolzano. Precisely in Veneto, there was a strong jump in new positives: 1,928 in the last 24 hours, a figure that was not detected by the hot days of the third wave of the virus. And there are 13 more victims than yesterday.

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