The right can breathe. Week after week, the regional ballot had ended up taking on the appearance of a vast trap for the Republicans and their allies. But the considerable abstention visibly affected LR and their allies less than the other camps. On the right, a platoon of cadors seemed to be on their way to peaceful escalations on Sunday (Laurent Wauquiez in Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes, Valérie Pécresse in Ile-de-France). Even Renaud Muselier, outgoing president Provence-Alpes-Côte d’Azur, given beaten in the polls against the RN of Thierry Mariani, was doing better than expected by playing on an equal footing with his opponent.
According to initial polls, all the outgoing LRs came out on top in the first round, sometimes with a very large lead over their pursuers, and finally tied with the RN in Paca. The right, we will hear a lot, also collected the largest number of votes at the national level, even if it would be inappropriate to brag about it for too long, the extraordinary level of abstention making the ballot a fight. of dwarfs, and of this result a chocolate medal.
In detail, Xavier Bertrand (Hauts-de-France), Valérie Pécresse (Île-de-France) and Laurent Wauquiez (Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes) achieved the best performances of their camp. These three national figures will see it, as soon as their victory is confirmed next Sunday, a ticket to their national ambitions. And the sign that having left LR, for the first two, or being there for the third, has little weight in the electoral field. For others, nothing is played. This is the case in Pays-de-la-Loire, where the advance of the outgoing Christelle Morancais does not protect her from a possible union of the left; and especially in Paca, despite an already unexpected first round result for the outgoing Renaud Muselier.
We will not wait, at LR, to congratulate ourselves on the very poor results of La République en Marche, as a conspiracy of the existential challenge launched to the right by the presidential party. Where the Macronist candidates are eliminated, it is a considerable pressure that is removed from the shoulders of LR: that of having to consider with them second-round alliances that look like a trap, one year away from a presidential election which will see both camps clash.
The picture is however less brilliant in the lands of conquest, in particular with the heavy failures in Nouvelle-Aquitaine and Occitanie (field of engagement of number 3 of LR, Aurélien Pradié). In Center-Val-de-Loire, the agreement with LREM seems a tempting option to take the region to the left, and in Pays-de-la-Loire to keep it. Do not imagine the candidates concerned standing at attention in front of the headquarters of LR, this Monday, when their leaders will discuss the strategy of the second round.
An uncomfortable alternative would then be presented to the bosses of the Les Républicains party: to condemn these agreements, with little chance of being obeyed; or take note of it, in a painful denial of all the tirades on the incompatibility of the two parties. The middle hypothesis would see The Republicans proceed on a case-by-case basis, putting their stamp on the alliance here, refusing it there. Not enough to clarify the identity of the party, but a small methodological progress: we can now distinguish the good macronism from the bad. Always taken.