Antibabis jumped Babiš – World – News for the first time

The picture shows the Prime Minister of the Czech Republic Andrej Babiš during a press conference after the meeting of the Prime Ministers of the V4 countries at Lednice Castle.

For the first time in five years, Prime Minister Andrej Babiš’s YES movement has not dominated the election poll. Eight months before the parliamentary elections, the fresh screening of the Kantar agency awarded the first place to the two-party coalition of Pirates with Mayors and Independents (STAN). This center-left tandem would beat YES by three percentage points with a gain of almost thirty percent.

For Babiš, the solid performance of the TOTAL coalition, formed by the ODS, TOP 09 and KDU-ČSL parties, is also a warning signal. A center-right alliance would win nearly twenty percent of the vote. Pirates, STAN and Spolu, ie the strongest anti-Babish parties, would, according to the projection of Kantar, occupy 108 of the total number of 200 seats in the future Chamber of Deputies, which would be enough for them to rule comfortably.

True, it is still a long way to October. And according to the same survey, with a preference of 26 percent, Babiš’s movement still maintains its position as the strongest independent political entity. However, the pirates, who are holding at 21 percent, and STAN with almost 10 percent support, can be satisfied that the risky move to close the pre-election coalition has not significantly weakened them and, on the contrary, makes them the main electoral challenger.

“We are glad that the cooperation between the Pirate Party and STAN makes sense to you and that you appreciate that we are looking for a solution and a way,” wrote the head of Pirates Ivan Bartoš on Twitter, who currently has the best chance of replacing Babiš at the head of government in autumn.

Vít Rakušan, the chairman of the other side of the tandem leader, also reacted optimistically. “It’s just a survey, but it shows us that you stand for hope, change, a good program and quality people,” he said on the social network.

According to Kantar, pirates and mayors have been strengthening for several months. The pirates have been growing very slowly since last spring, and the Mayors and the Independents have managed to break from a critical five percent level to about twice the level during the autumn. YES has been slowly declining since the peak of last April, when almost 35 percent of Czechs enjoyed the support of the first wave of the pandemic. The catastrophic second wave deprived Babiš’s movement of ten percentage points in tamer preferences.

Babiš’s deputy at the head of the movement and the head of the ANO parliamentary club, Jaroslav Faltýnek, refused to dramatize the results of the screening in the Czech Television talk show. “It’s not so bad for us when we hear for a year that we’re doing everything wrong,” he said.

The Czech Republic experienced the last election model with a different winner than YES in June 2016, when it was overtaken by one percentage point by the Social Democrats. However, it has been going down with water ever since. According to a recent poll, the CSSD would not even get into parliament with four percent of the vote. The Communists are also on the brink of a five percent threshold.

For Babiš, these reports from the tail of the peloton of the parties sound even more dramatic than the fact that for the first time his movement lost its position at the head. They signal that the coalition potential of YES is dangerously shrinking. The future parliament does not need to get its coalition Social Democrats or the Communists, who keep the minority government afloat through a tolerance agreement.

The Kantar survey was conducted at the turn of January and February, so it did not yet take into account the chaos surrounding the state of emergency, which showed not only the government’s inability to secure a majority in the Chamber of Deputies but also the gambling attitude of opposition parties.

According to commentator Petr Fischer, the opposition coalitions, if they maintain cohesion and do not make a more serious mistake, could replace the current government. “It is clear from the surveys that Czech politics has reached a turning point,” Fischer told Czech Radio, adding: “The decision is no longer in the hands of Andrej Babiš.”

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